F1 Betting: Mexico Grand Prix Betting Preview
There’s still plenty at stake with just three races left in the 2022 Formula One season. Red Bull have already won the Constructors’ Championship, and Max Verstappen has successfully defended his Drivers’ title, but there will be no letting up this Sunday (4 PM ET) with Bodog’s Mexico City Grand Prix betting preview. Winning this race is too important for any of these teams to be coasting to the finish line, which means it’ll be another busy weekend for F1 betting here at Bodog Sportsbook.
Pride plays a big role in motor sports – you know Lewis Hamilton is just aching to win a race this year, and time is running out. But money is obviously a motivating factor as well. Teams get paid a share of the F1 profits based on where they finish in the Constructors’ standings; heading into Mexico City, Ferrari are a distant second behind Red Bull, but only 53 points ahead of Mercedes with well over 100 points left to claim.
Sunday is also an important day for teams further down the F1 pecking order. Only six points separate fourth-place Alpine and fifth-place McLaren, while No. 6 Alfa Romeo find themselves just a single point ahead of No. 7 Aston Martin. Even the two points between No. 8 Hass and No. 9 AlphaTauri can mean millions of dollars won or lost for these smaller teams, money they desperately need to keep their cars on the track.
This dynamic makes Sunday’s race even more must-see for Canadian F1 fans – and for bettors here at Bodog. Here’s a quick look at what’s going down at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez in our Mexico Grand Prix betting preview.
Mexico Grand Prix Betting Preview: The F1 Betting Favourites
Naturally, Verstappen and Red Bull are still expected to take the chequered flag from here on out. And Ferrari are still the ones with the best chance to knock them off the podium:
Max Verstappen –190
Sergio Perez +350
Charles Leclerc +500
Lewis Hamilton +1600
Carlos Sainz +1800
George Russell +3300
This list neatly sums up how the 2022 F1 season has played out. Ferrari have had their moments, and looked like they had the advantage right out of the gate, but Red Bull adjusted. They’ve won each of the last eight races, with Verstappen (a three-time winner in Mexico) taking seven and Perez finishing first earlier this month at Singapore.
All the titles might still be up for grabs if Ferrari hadn’t constantly shot themselves in the foot this year. The Scuderia have started from pole position in 12 of the 19 races thus far, but with only four wins to show for it – and several early retirements, including back-to-back exits for Sainz at the Japanese and US Grands Prix.
Those results have allowed Mercedes to stay within range of second place despite their year-long porpoising issues. Hamilton won this event in 2016 and 2019, and former teammate Nico Rosberg won it in 2015, so Mercedes are certainly capable when their equipment is right. Now that he’s been promoted to Hamilton’s side, Russell will presumably place higher than No. 16, his previous best in Mexico when he drove for Williams in 2019 and 2021.
While Mercedes try to leapfrog into second, the ongoing feud between Red Bull and Ferrari is still the main event for Sunday’s race, with extra emphasis on the battle between Perez and Leclerc for second in the Drivers’ standings. Perez is only two points behind the Frenchman; you can bet on Perez at +140 to finish ahead of Leclerc, the current –185 favourite for their Season Match bet at Bodog.
Leclerc’s slim lead might not last very long. Although he’s made the podium in each of his last five races, the best he’s ever done in Mexico is fourth place back in 2019, while Perez finished third last year on his home soil. That local knowledge could make all the difference this Sunday.
Canada’s Best Hopes
Again, there won’t be as much pomp and circumstance for the two Canadian drivers competing in Mexico, but with all that F1 cash up for grabs, their efforts will be even more important to their respective teams.
Lance Stroll has the better chance of winning outright, although his odds are very long indeed at +100000. The Montreal native has yet to win an F1 race since joining the circuit in 2017, and Stroll hasn’t reached the podium since Racing Point was rebranded to Aston Martin in 2021. His best and only Top 10 result in Mexico was during his rookie season, when he finished sixth for Williams.
Speaking of Williams, Nicholas Latifi (+300000) has had a very difficult year. After a series of crashes and car failures, Latifi has earned just two Drivers’ points – both for finishing ninth in Japan – with three races remaining. He won’t be back with Williams next year, but a dedicated effort in these last weeks could earn the Montreal-born, Toronto-raised Latifi another job elsewhere in 2023.
It could also help Williams climb out of 10th and last place on the Constructors’ table. It’s unlikely, though; Canadian bettors will be more focussed on Stroll, who can help Aston Martin overcome Alfa Romeo in the standings and maybe sneak in at least another podium finish.
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